Weather It Is (Are Those Icebergs?)

Good Evening:

I thought that I had taken whatever steps I needed to protect myself.  I already know that at the first mention of snow I tend to dream about the white stuff, whether it is waking up at night or in the morning and seeing the ground covered in a blanket of white.  I know that I already I have to check that I am really awake, even if this means a pinch on the cheek.  What I didn't know was that I would drag others into my dreams in order to ask them if I was dreaming!  My poor daughter was blissfully dreaming of a good, sumptuous meal at a local restaurant with family, when suddenly she was dragged into my dream and saw snow falling outside the windows of the restaurant. Perhaps, I will just have to stay awake for the next few days.

Here's the situation.  Starting Wednesday evening an unusually strong (and unseasonable) winter storm will approach from the west. As the storm moves closer a front will arrive, winds will pick up, and temperatures will fall steadily into Friday morning.

While one won't be seeing any icebergs in the sea, rain chances will increase throughout Friday and become probable Shabbat into Sunday.  At the same time, there is a 25% chance that temperatures will fall far enough at 500 mb to bring snow at the higher elevations of the center and Galilee.  There is a 10 to 15% that temperatures will turn cold enough to bring a wet accumulating snow rather than more graupel-like ("hail") mixture of rain and snow.  In any case, snow may whiten the ground in heavier thunderstorms, which are likely with this type of temperature and moisture profile.

Of course, with the warm sun, any snow accumulation would have to occur late in the day or at night (or early morning).

Snow is likely in the highest elevations of the Golan and the Hermon sometime Shabbat into Sunday morning.

The winter-like cold should continue into mid-next week, and we don't see any return to the warm temperatures of today or tomorrow within the next week or so.

Modim L' Simcha,

Barry Lynn